TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfffe…4e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
404
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT27749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 277 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.71
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.26
Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$405.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.3
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.79
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$137.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.69
Showing 25 of 277 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4060%24 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$34.72
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$131.42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.27
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,172.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,008.79
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$27.11
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$13.85
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$23.24
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.53
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.91
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.88
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$42.31
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$397.82
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72%+$221.93
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$217.33
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$45.78
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$156.75
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.61
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$49.08
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.45
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.51
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$58.41
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.92
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jean Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.41
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$2,176.91
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$142.99
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$89.36
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$727.14
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$91.19
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Casey O'Neill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$161.58
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.66
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+54.2%+$30.6
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150.78
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.19
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$471.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$223.28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$57.35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.89
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.57
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.44
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.38
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$173.05
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$18.72
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$309.56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$79.2
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220.48
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.61
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.09
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.74
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$516.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.81
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.41
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$295.46
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.23
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108.87
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$277.77
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.2
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$20.12
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$51.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$102.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$141.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.