World Politics · resolved market
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fbe1832139c5e67dbf93813aabb9ac67ab8dd3d7d32fe86957ff761a8fa1532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 42c | 62,598$26,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,164.02 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 63c | 45,556$28,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,002.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 55c | 40,104$21,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,126.67 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 63c | 20,672$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,671.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 58c | 20,359$11,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,641.5 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c6…d483backed Yes | 58c | 13,304$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 55c | 12,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 57c | 10,734$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 56c | 10,005$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.89 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 73c | 9,906$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.95 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 58c | 9,391$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.49 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 36c | 9,285$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 24c | 9,253$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.63 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 68c | 8,270$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 41c | 7,918$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.95 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 40c | 5,974$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.89 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…eed6backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 62c | 4,844$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 61c | 4,748$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.31 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 60c | 4,036$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.83 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…494bbacked Yes | 63c | 3,067$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.85 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 34c | 2,775$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.57 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 62c | 2,748$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.39 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 57c | 2,730$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.09 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked No | 43c | 2,618$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…f6d9backed Yes | 72c | 2,607$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed No | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 2,600$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,592$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 2,588$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.46 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…f289backed Yes | 64c | 2,466$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 58c | 2,416$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 60c | 2,405$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.03 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 59c | 2,266$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.14 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 68c | 2,199$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…73e8backed No | 42c | 2,154$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 58c | 2,058$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.94 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d138backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.99 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 61c | 1,964$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.63 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 58c | 1,839$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed Yes | 58c | 1,800$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +884.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 44c | 1,798$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.84 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 60c | 1,735$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 43c | 1,663$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.81 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…a105backed Yes | 62c | 1,641$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,536$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.28 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 65c | 1,536$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 62c | 1,469$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.1 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 1,336$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.54 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…b4a8backed No | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +565.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 56c | 1,333$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 48c | 1,320$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 59c | 1,316$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.82 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked Yes | 70c | 1,302$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes | 69c | 1,210$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,196$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…6100backed Yes | 61c | 1,194$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,108$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.62 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2df…17b6backed Yes | 61c | 1,098$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 39c | 1,074$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.78 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 42c | 1,068$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.93 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…c02abacked Yes | 59c | 1,067$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…954fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,043$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,010$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…62c7backed No | 43c | 980$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Yes | 53c | 958.61$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.55 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 62cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 59c | 945.06$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 55c | 943.39$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…8545backed Yes | 59c | 941.88$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 64c | 928.2$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 915.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed No | 41c | 912$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 25c | 867.32$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed No | 42c | 855.64$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Yes | 65c | 852.36$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 63c | 839$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.34 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed Yes | 65c | 820.42$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 23c | 815.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.83 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…1371backed No | 39c | 741.86$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 41c | 731.05$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.15 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…2e38backed Yes | 56c | 727.17$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 63c | 714.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 43c | 712.7$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 42c | 707.75$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.89 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?this page
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.