Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19eed341534fd9e710b435d3eda630bdd9458a3c0c32d15027442f5835ec037

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $392,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,457 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7177…ddefbacked Yes	41c	45,555$18,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,486.31	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes	37c	32,858$11,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,998.93	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5462…eed6backed Yes	39c	25,454$10,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,029.52	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	16c	13,005$2,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,046.47	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64e…5516backed Yes	37c	12,819$4,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,703.82	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed No	63c	12,280$7,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,603.58	121	33.1%40 W · 81 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes	33c	12,172$4,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,015.05	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+45%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes	15c	8,155$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.21	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes	33c	8,140$2,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,662.93	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+10.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x563d…0f60backed Yes	3c	7,663$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.42	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	25c	7,205$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.39	284	34.2%97 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes	32c	6,031$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.67	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed No	58c	5,690$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,389.91	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a57…4919backed Yes	33c	5,130$1,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,689.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	2c	5,014$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.17	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.98	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes	41c	4,863$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.69	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	41c	4,542$1,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,867.39	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes	43c	4,226$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.59	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes	42c	4,000$1,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685	133	34.6%46 W · 87 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	38c	3,333$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.54	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	70c	3,200$2,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.83	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No	65c	3,089$2,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.73	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01da…ea89backed Yes	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	1c	2,900$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	113	1.8%2 W · 111 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	36c	2,688$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.7	53	17%9 W · 44 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	66c	2,656$1,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.45	322	55%177 W · 145 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	39c	2,634$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.42	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	40c	2,567$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.76	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes	1c	2,545$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes	43c	2,527$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.37	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad26…589cbacked Yes	38c	2,500$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+189.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes	41c	2,500$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.99	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52f…954fbacked Yes	21c	2,487$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes	43c	2,427$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d650backed No	62c	2,354$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$883.92	75	70.7%53 W · 22 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked No	48c	2,221$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.66	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	61c	2,133$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.19	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	43c	2,100$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.99	247	36.8%91 W · 156 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa382…d138backed Yes	47c	2,035$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.59	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x48c6…d483backed No	56c	2,020$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.8	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	42c	2,019$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed No	62c	2,010$1,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$763.67	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+47%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x225c…40dcbacked Yes	40c	1,839$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.08	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…678cbacked Yes	15c	1,823$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.54	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes	15c	1,753$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.91	182	14.8%27 W · 155 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+218.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes	31c	1,710$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.9	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc958…5fa9backed Yes	40c	1,698$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.33	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked Yes	36c	1,634$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.67	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…6b75backed Yes	38c	1,569$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.27	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	39c	1,538$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.16	528	50.8%268 W · 260 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8190…b247backed Yes	38c	1,505$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7255…67e0backed Yes	48c	1,501$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…301cbacked No	62c	1,384$862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.31	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No	62c	1,335$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.3	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	39c	1,311$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.98	302	33.8%102 W · 200 L	+19.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes	39c	1,273$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49e…dc8bbacked Yes	38c	1,250$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…e4a5backed Yes	40c	1,245$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	35c	1,190$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.02	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes	30c	1,154$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.91	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	26c	1,111$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.86	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02a…f293backed Yes	2c	1,039$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes	19c	975.15$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…3238backed No	52c	966.83$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.73	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes	38c	915$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.7	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa331…7092backed Yes	35c	875.08$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.31	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+135.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ac…2fc1backed No	60c	833.97$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.59	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5795…30fabacked Yes	5c	809.4$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.91	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc160…ce0abacked Yes	41c	800$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-54%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Yes	46c	736.31$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03be…f6d9backed Yes	59c	701$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf107…b9babacked Yes	7c	687.03$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39df…644bbacked Yes	38c	666$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.08	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0102…424bbacked No	64c	665.98$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	35c	640.17$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.59	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6781…17f5backed Yes	16c	640.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683c…c127backed Yes	48c	635.54$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	58c	630.88$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.92	367	42.5%156 W · 211 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…bcdbbacked Yes	16c	619.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	58c	604.23$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.89	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc135…4bdebacked No	50c	601.8$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.83	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+52%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6e1…4f54backed No	56c	600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No	63c	592.45$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.38	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked No	60c	586$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	63c	569$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.53	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf9…a105backed Yes	79c	565.17$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No	60c	563.8$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.52	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	3c	557.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	33c	550.55$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.13	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…6099backed Yes	33c	550$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes	41c	536.24$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.68	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x048e…6e41backed Yes	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d12…0fa7backed Yes	10c	518.72$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.42	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…dcd8backed Yes	33c	511.49$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.06	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7816…af9dbacked Yes	40c	505.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked No	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d2…f954backed Yes	38c	500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+11.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?this page
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes won
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event