TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f08…73a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6154.1%33 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.41
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$333.56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$467.61
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$348.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.61
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$1,347.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.62
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$1,150.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+110%+$4,033
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$1,485.93
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$185.88
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$625.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$45.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.51
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$7,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,002.42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3727%10 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,194.4
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,705.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353.34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$210.25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400.95
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,481
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,252.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.03
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,314.2
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.5
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,086.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,499.03
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.57
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$213.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$157.8
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$153.16
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.6
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$149.39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$204.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.95
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.8
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.47
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.87
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$342.56
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.7%+$27.65
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+171%+$34.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.8
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.96
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$639.97
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$4,954.75
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$686.36
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+172.9%+$802.37
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$121.5
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$264.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29%+$67.5
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$21.93
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$25.5
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,776.86
Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31%+$39.37
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+88.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+266.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,695.7
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.