TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3d35…23c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 63 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT4037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$391
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.3
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$240
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$658
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$266.99
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$185.4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$59.91
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$395.2
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$519
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$174.75
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+233.3%+$69.99
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+150%+$174
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$823.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$30.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$188.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$555.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$450
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,320
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$515.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$65.28
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$296.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$128
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$271.3
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$63.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+110%+$2,357
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$370
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.59
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$2,864.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.64
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$576
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$507
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.2%+$119
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+900%+$2,250
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+646.6%+$7,090.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1593.3%14 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick62cpaid+53.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$631.49
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$437
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$123.99
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$453.55
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$144.72
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$126.99
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.04
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$1,437.55
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.65
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$197.4
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$106.04
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$544
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$399
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$365.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$104.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$231
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+339.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.91
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$97.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.