Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03d6082ec33a3784fe0ddf89ecd1b9876bf7da3cfc77492f6d4a5ad29c510d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,780,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,780,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked No | 54c | 3,161,922$1,701,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460,422.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 46c | 874,651$405,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405,105.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 45c | 363,636$163,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,636.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed No | 53c | 301,534$159,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,721.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 49c | 297,773$145,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,908.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 53c | 249,990$132,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,495.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 231,524$104,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,199.42 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 2c | 210,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 46c | 176,658$81,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,691.6 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 52c | 169,999$87,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,399.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 163,205$76,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,167.01 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 51c | 160,000$82,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,800.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 157,435$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.87 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 51c | 138,406$70,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,438.26 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 120,249$56,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,960.42 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 46c | 98,688$45,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,197.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 46c | 88,500$41,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,110 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yes | 49c | 85,908$42,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,094.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed No | 52c | 85,000$44,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,800.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 48c | 83,308$39,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,987.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,900 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 65,201$26,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,796.85 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 65,000$30,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,333.32 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes | 3c | 58,589$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 47c | 49,999$23,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,299.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 47c | 42,605$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 42,463$27,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,534.2 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 48c | 38,297$18,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,444 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Yes | 49c | 30,550$14,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,969.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.94 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 48c | 29,425$14,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,122.49 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 46c | 29,000$13,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,370 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 46c | 27,563$12,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,756.44 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 51c | 26,726$13,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,098.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 22c | 26,538$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.88 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 49c | 25,707$12,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,571.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 46c | 25,536$11,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,655.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…5f75backed Yes | 0c | 25,211$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…8519backed Yes | 1c | 24,810$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 49c | 22,243$10,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,898.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Yes | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Yes | 48c | 21,998$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,559 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 21,155$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.34 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 52c | 20,691$10,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,931.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 47c | 20,638$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 46c | 20,600$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 49c | 20,546$10,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,067.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 50c | 19,887$9,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 19,536$9,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.84 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 18,340$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 47c | 17,021$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 51c | 17,000$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.91 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 53c | 16,095$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,603.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 47c | 15,372$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 47c | 14,894$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 54c | 14,819$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked No | 54c | 14,816$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 14,605$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,111.35 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 58c | 13,824$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,817 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 54c | 13,358$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 47c | 13,000$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 12,333$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.8 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 46c | 12,000$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.94 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 47c | 11,709$5,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.64 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 47c | 11,295$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 49c | 11,098$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 52c | 10,890$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.37 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Yes | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 10,859$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…14efbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed No | 51c | 9,190$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 9c | 9,157$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 47c | 9,000$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 51c | 8,649$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 46c | 8,540$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 47c | 8,504$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed Yes | 47c | 8,472$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,347$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 48c | 8,227$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 47c | 8,038$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 8,020$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.88 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 47c | 8,000$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 7,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 47c | 7,800$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 10c | 7,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 46c | 7,184$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.