Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c512d9857cd92ea3bb3aa60842de2bb4cb27c8120c389dcac68d6e862aa1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,212,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,212,286 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 219,572$71,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,179.52 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 172,604$124,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,985.32 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 28c | 108,798$29,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,804.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 74c | 100,001$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,999.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 65,593$47,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,876.73 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,500.5 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 47,212$25,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,892.52 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 73c | 44,444$32,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,666.2 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 73c | 42,357$30,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,920.11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 40,308$29,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,533.18 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 73c | 37,600$27,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,447.94 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 34,218$25,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,278.79 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 31,167$10,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,136.6 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 30,000$21,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,774.98 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 66c | 30,000$19,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,349.95 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 74c | 27,175$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.88 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 26,029$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 28c | 22,263$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,092.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 5c | 21,768$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.52 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 1c | 20,376$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7064…1b74backed Yes | 28c | 18,094$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,002.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…a152backed No | 8c | 17,660$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 28c | 15,200$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 50c | 14,000$7,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,069.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 73c | 12,328$9,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,049.17 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…6f4ebacked No | 74c | 11,729$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes | 27c | 11,621$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,484.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0918backed No | 74c | 11,494$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,505.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 26c | 11,309$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.08 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 5c | 11,194$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 27c | 10,809$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,890.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 10,602$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 10,512$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.69 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 27c | 9,259$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,759.26 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Yes | 27c | 9,215$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 28c | 9,075$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 9,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,659.95 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…74ffbacked No | 2c | 8,882$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 8,471$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.18 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 43c | 8,031$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,551.29 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,908$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 73c | 7,903$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…5404backed No | 7c | 7,780$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 7,700$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…1603backed Yes | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes | 27c | 7,574$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 74c | 7,497$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666c…1c48backed Yes | 27c | 7,380$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 26c | 7,057$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 34c | 6,945$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 28c | 6,716$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.64 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 7c | 6,157$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.32 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 70c | 6,128$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 27c | 6,040$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 29c | 5,929$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 27c | 5,557$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.08 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…53bcbacked No | 74c | 5,556$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 26c | 5,555$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked No | 73c | 5,504$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Yes | 26c | 5,500$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 8c | 5,400$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes | 27c | 5,305$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 27c | 5,185$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 18c | 4,967$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.58 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Yes | 75c | 4,759$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,679$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.53 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 4,408$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 4,339$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 76c | 4,222$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 27c | 4,200$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 26c | 4,039$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.49 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 27c | 4,008$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.34 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 74c | 4,004$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.96 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 53c | 3,948$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 3,936$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.85 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 27c | 3,808$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 27c | 3,774$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.45 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 27c | 3,640$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 26c | 3,378$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Yes | 30c | 3,378$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 73c | 3,333$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.09 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 61c | 3,188$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.95 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 28c | 2,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 2,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.