Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6450ffcffd0571128a370afef5f21f1fbc618f5340c84d052a822db068d7c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,180,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,118,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,180,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9be8…ae0fbacked No | 1c | 716,518$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 0c | 170,300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 9c | 41,301$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +314.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed No | 1c | 38,536$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…1c47backed No | 3c | 26,100$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…2760backed Yes | 11c | 23,505$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,029.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +849.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…ea49backed No | 0c | 23,051$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 9c | 22,672$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,560.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +523%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…b140backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 67c | 18,798$12,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,504.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 14c | 18,790$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…608bbacked Yes | 8c | 18,000$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,613.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +803.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 6c | 16,202$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,246.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,037%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Yes | 70c | 14,189$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…9492backed Yes | 80c | 13,381$10,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 52c | 12,741$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Yes | 60c | 12,138$7,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 10,663$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1139…f135backed Yes | 70c | 10,065$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…0a8fbacked Yes | 24c | 9,661$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,305.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 33c | 9,398$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…7731backed No | 1c | 8,701$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 0c | 7,589$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked Yes | 63c | 7,553$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 58c | 7,397$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 75c | 7,154$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 6c | 7,000$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,586.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 50c | 6,896$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.03 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 4c | 6,852$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 15c | 6,833$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed No | 28c | 6,550$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754c…ce51backed No | 2c | 6,246$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 80c | 6,140$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 75c | 6,083$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 30c | 5,998$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.67 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 37c | 5,646$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Yes | 73c | 5,603$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…d6e4backed Yes | 35c | 5,542$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…2168backed Yes | 9c | 5,507$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,002.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 66c | 5,352$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…3a0dbacked No | 1c | 5,316$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 33c | 5,259$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.02 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…2191backed No | 1c | 5,058$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 35c | 5,050$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed No | 2c | 5,038$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…bef9backed No | 29c | 5,031$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…faa4backed Yes | 8c | 4,806$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…be65backed No | 1c | 4,659$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes | 66c | 4,624$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…5c87backed Yes | 75c | 4,605$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Yes | 28c | 4,506$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed No | 63c | 4,498$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 54c | 4,440$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 42c | 4,321$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…590dbacked Yes | 24c | 4,204$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…9f97backed No | 39c | 4,142$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 44c | 4,032$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 50c | 3,711$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.88 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…61d7backed No | 70c | 3,593$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…5e71backed Yes | 8c | 3,518$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,203.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 34c | 3,474$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 13c | 3,435$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…683bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,300$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 8c | 3,253$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +514.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,223$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Yes | 36c | 3,134$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,096$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…6ea2backed Yes | 10c | 3,092$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 54c | 3,057$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 42c | 3,055$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.99 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee2dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,968$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…dedfbacked No | 1c | 2,948$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…dda0backed Yes | 15c | 2,922$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 32c | 2,900$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.32 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 80c | 2,872$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 2,833$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.79 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,753$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,750$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 71c | 2,709$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 43c | 2,681$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.87 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 43c | 2,610$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 17c | 2,450$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 66c | 2,450$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 39c | 2,440$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.74 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 60c | 2,407$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,387$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.08 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…312fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,357$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…3893backed Yes | 76c | 2,353$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…80cebacked Yes | 7c | 2,295$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +705.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 14c | 2,283$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed No | 1c | 2,262$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 27c | 2,227$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 2,184$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.73 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 15c | 2,181$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,151$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 25c | 2,133$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 38c | 2,091$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 21c | 2,048$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 4c | 2,001$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…3e30backed Yes | 59c | 1,989$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.