Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b363091f99932785604dc63c200f1797111cc9d022c854ee771535e709d841e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,704,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,820,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,704,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6517…46b6backed Yes | 2c | 85,713$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 3c | 82,108$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.1 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…231abacked Yes | 1c | 68,777$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…68ecbacked Yes | 2c | 55,144$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 5c | 50,198$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…7722backed Yes | 1c | 41,659$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…6c06backed Yes | 2c | 41,604$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e39…0055backed Yes | 1c | 40,823$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…9c78backed Yes | 0c | 38,474$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 29,874$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.61 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 4c | 28,308$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 26,750$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.32 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…c69abacked Yes | 2c | 24,170$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…fdc3backed Yes | 1c | 23,948$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 3c | 22,709$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.99 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 2c | 21,708$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 2c | 21,117$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.44 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…a08ebacked Yes | 2c | 20,775$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 1c | 20,376$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…be74backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 1c | 19,377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 18,897$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.46 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 2c | 18,500$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes | 2c | 16,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Yes | 1c | 15,277$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Yes | 3c | 15,235$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 2c | 14,406$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…b9f3backed Yes | 1c | 14,340$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,069$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 12,718$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…1518backed Yes | 2c | 12,427$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…79cfbacked Yes | 1c | 11,517$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…62d0backed Yes | 2c | 11,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 10,454$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…81ccbacked Yes | 1c | 10,311$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 2c | 10,306$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…04fcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…9c0ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,753$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 9,654$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…5266backed Yes | 1c | 9,413$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,326$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…8865backed Yes | 2c | 8,941$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed Yes | 1c | 8,380$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…aff7backed Yes | 3c | 8,006$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…cd24backed Yes | 4c | 7,966$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 3c | 7,913$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…1c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,810$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 1c | 7,766$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…4cc3backed Yes | 4c | 7,742$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…666ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,681$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +563.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a23abacked Yes | 2c | 7,490$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,382$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,308$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf1…7e8ebacked Yes | 10c | 7,004$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…b3d3backed Yes | 2c | 6,801$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc72f…22ebbacked Yes | 3c | 6,575$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 6,289$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed Yes | 3c | 6,043$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 2c | 5,878$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…fc5fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 7c | 5,763$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed Yes | 1c | 5,753$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…22c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c74dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,433$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -59%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 1c | 5,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…e1c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,317$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…8466backed Yes | 3c | 5,170$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…d933backed Yes | 2c | 5,066$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…3203backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…eddebacked Yes | 2c | 4,757$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…abfabacked Yes | 1c | 4,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…5f88backed Yes | 6c | 4,566$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c244backed Yes | 1c | 4,543$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…7b07backed Yes | 2c | 4,500$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…4683backed Yes | 5c | 4,428$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e03…4e13backed Yes | 2c | 4,395$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…1294backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…d14dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,252$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…3bcbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…ca06backed Yes | 2c | 4,143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 2c | 4,124$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…f71abacked Yes | 2c | 4,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…2440backed Yes | 5c | 3,768$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…78e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,649$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…6ab7backed Yes | 1c | 3,536$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…3fbebacked Yes | 7c | 3,536$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…7092backed Yes | 1c | 3,460$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3331…8587backed Yes | 2c | 3,426$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…8f5fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd9…43f5backed Yes | 3c | 3,278$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 1c | 3,192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 2c | 3,152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…6f12backed Yes | 1c | 3,141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…4ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,018$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…ecf6backed Yes | 1c | 3,015$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.