Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x541569056a06e7496c6e1514ff42ccd6870d83d177f564c12fe9c307a7c937fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63e1…68ecbacked Yes | 7c | 22,921$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…944ebacked Yes | 5c | 17,559$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…fdc3backed Yes | 1c | 13,891$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…6ee8backed Yes | 7c | 10,279$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 8,175$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 8c | 8,098$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.87 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,839$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 12c | 6,673$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 7c | 5,632$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,388$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 6c | 5,380$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.51 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…9e76backed Yes | 0c | 5,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 0c | 4,998$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 9c | 4,842$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.21 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 14c | 4,305$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 4,171$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…5f88backed Yes | 12c | 4,171$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 4,044$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.51 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…9d8dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,981$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…a08ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,461$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…aa25backed Yes | 10c | 3,450$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Yes | 12c | 3,395$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…4172backed Yes | 12c | 3,039$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…e7bfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,832$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,751$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.69 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,721$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,653$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…fb86backed Yes | 9c | 2,583$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,495$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 8c | 2,366$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,360$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed Yes | 3c | 2,345$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 5c | 2,156$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,757$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…f049backed Yes | 13c | 1,736$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…aff7backed Yes | 12c | 1,730$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…1e3ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,711$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf951…cd0cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,630$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…306cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,579$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee2dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,552$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 9c | 1,550$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…e4fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed Yes | 9c | 1,450$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,368$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b7afbacked Yes | 11c | 1,331$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,313$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…a09ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,304$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,261$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…1fb6backed Yes | 12c | 1,245$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…8865backed Yes | 11c | 1,226$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…ca06backed Yes | 11c | 1,214$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…c399backed Yes | 7c | 1,172$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…2179backed Yes | 10c | 1,159$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 1,148$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…907dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked Yes | 15c | 1,060$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 7c | 1,044$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e302backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 11c | 999.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f10abacked Yes | 10c | 983.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…895bbacked Yes | 6c | 935.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…fd1abacked Yes | 10c | 934.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c48…bf8cbacked Yes | 5c | 932$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…cdc6backed Yes | 5c | 916.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…075fbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…6a7cbacked Yes | 14c | 898.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 14c | 854.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 849.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…d14dbacked Yes | 9c | 839.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 8c | 810.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…8d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 779.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…3fe4backed Yes | 7c | 775.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…ae21backed Yes | 12c | 775$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…1465backed Yes | 8c | 769.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…3611backed Yes | 14c | 737.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 14c | 705.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…1362backed Yes | 12c | 700.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…fed1backed Yes | 10c | 680.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a23abacked Yes | 5c | 670$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 664.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…faa0backed Yes | 4c | 662.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…51b2backed Yes | 8c | 655.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…5c2fbacked Yes | 11c | 638.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 7c | 608.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…fbc9backed Yes | 3c | 605.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Yes | 10c | 601.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…7708backed Yes | 3c | 592.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd740…54f6backed Yes | 4c | 557.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed Yes | 9c | 556.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +2,006.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…d63ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…7614backed Yes | 9c | 551.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…9d6cbacked Yes | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 11c | 537.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…d351backed Yes | 4c | 523.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.