Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc98605f5fb055b2d29e62ba00e89a6363cc2c1fedb130c6bc06eb53223c11184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 80c | 47,876$38,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,243.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 21c | 47,556$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,755.13 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…f039backed Yes | 17c | 14,440$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,985.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…1308backed Yes | 21c | 13,650$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,783.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905b…e39fbacked Yes | 18c | 13,636$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 8c | 10,796$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 5c | 9,270$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,898$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,037%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 1c | 6,846$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 57c | 6,674$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…48d3backed Yes | 19c | 6,098$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +429.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 73c | 5,185$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e894backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…bcc4backed Yes | 30c | 4,642$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 4,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 34c | 4,014$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.67 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 58c | 3,917$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +523%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…5175backed Yes | 38c | 3,656$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 71c | 3,593$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed No | 9c | 3,590$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c4…6219backed No | 79c | 3,550$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…3229backed No | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…608bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +803.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 79c | 3,475$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 56c | 3,459$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…4850backed No | 79c | 3,450$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…2c27backed No | 79c | 3,150$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…1455backed Yes | 62c | 3,092$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed No | 62c | 3,064$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 75c | 2,966$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,387$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 2,100$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.45 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 23c | 2,048$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.93 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9da6backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…bc74backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 67c | 1,940$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 42c | 1,888$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.05 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…e382backed Yes | 32c | 1,790$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 52c | 1,653$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…6ea2backed Yes | 35c | 1,586$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…91adbacked Yes | 45c | 1,556$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 60c | 1,544$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes | 66c | 1,434$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…ca06backed Yes | 21c | 1,254$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 20c | 1,238$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed Yes | 22c | 1,236$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +236%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Yes | 70c | 1,200$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked No | 1c | 1,168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 80c | 1,161$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 75c | 1,157$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…f99ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,125$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +958.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,108$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 78c | 1,043$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…5ab7backed Yes | 19c | 1,030$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…6f82backed No | 2c | 1,026$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…4660backed Yes | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 20c | 981.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 79c | 972.34$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…f1afbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Yes | 54c | 926.44$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…6c99backed Yes | 41c | 879.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 43c | 788.46$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked No | 38c | 787.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…3abdbacked No | 3c | 786.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 767.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 39c | 762.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 747.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 744.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…1fdabacked No | 2c | 710.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 30c | 675.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed No | 79c | 670$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 74c | 666.92$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.29 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…1a0ebacked Yes | 76c | 656.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…e9f3backed No | 75c | 654.94$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e1…fd5dbacked Yes | 23c | 638.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 13c | 636.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +370.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…c97cbacked Yes | 22c | 622.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 19c | 614.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d7e4backed Yes | 80c | 587.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Yes | 30c | 576.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +232.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 12c | 570$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 80c | 555.99$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…c903backed Yes | 26c | 539.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed No | 7c | 528.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 50c | 523$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…f5a2backed Yes | 18c | 516.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 17c | 506.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…4df7backed No | 75c | 500$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 3c | 494.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 27c | 491.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 21c | 491.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.98 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…ab7fbacked Yes | 28c | 486.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.