TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde7f…2658

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$4,560
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,468Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$3,132
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12,250.14
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$6,450.26
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,709.24
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,497.58
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$599
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+129.9%+$4,285.97
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.9%+$894.65
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,003.06
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$1,757.25
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69%+$718.23
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,899.8
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,757Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$2,343
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+60.4%+$1,489.94
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+199.1%+$2,833.55
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,772.94
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,120
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$425.69
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$1,000
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,866Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.9%+$1,928.67
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.6
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.8%+$893.49
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,730Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.3%+$2,710.98
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$244.37
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$359.69
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$160.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$999.75
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$340
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+203%+$371.26
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$241.49
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$700.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.6%+$253
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,051Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.3%+$3,348.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.2%+$372.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37.4%+$326.51
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,361.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,141.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,020.63
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,162
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+70.9%+$659.04
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$481.1
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+48.2%+$113.81
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+98.1%+$206.06
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$304.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$627
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.1%+$517.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$460
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$555.66
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,171.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,913.75
Butler Bulldogs vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,497.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+32.7%+$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$483
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$317.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$496.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.