Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Magda Linette
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886d2a1a371041e634ddaf6412d877d9da7378e0317eeab4081a9ccaaf1b4880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linetteof Wang, Linette
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Wang | 43c | 2,800$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Wang | 54c | 2,080$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Linette | 57c | 1,753$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wang | 26c | 1,723$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Wang | 36c | 1,667$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.21 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Linette | 59c | 1,589$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Linette | 64c | 1,580$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Wang | 36c | 1,500$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.35 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Linette | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wang | 46c | 1,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Wang | 51c | 1,041$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.54 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Linette | 78c | 1,021$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Wang | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wang | 43c | 911.47$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.69 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Linette | 55c | 749.66$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wang | 18c | 677.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Linette | 67c | 550.52$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Wang | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Wang | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Wang | 2c | 484.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Wang | 36c | 337.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Linette | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Wang | 54c | 316.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Linette | 66c | 303.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Linette | 63c | 302.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wang | 7c | 273.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Wang | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Linette | 52c | 218.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Linette | 64c | 213.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Wang | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Wang | 39c | 185.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Linette | 70c | 178.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Wang | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Linette | 47c | 163.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Linette | 59c | 160.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Linette | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Linette | 51c | 129.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 298 | 54%161 W · 137 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Wang | 48c | 125.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…d8adbacked Linette | 66c | 122.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Linette | 59c | 104.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Wang | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Wang | 13c | 78.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Linette | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Linette | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Linette | 56c | 65.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Wang | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Wang | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Wang | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Wang | 54c | 41.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Linette | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Wang | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Linette | 71c | 36.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Linette | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Wang | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…13f0backed Linette | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Linette | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Linette | 77c | 27.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Linette | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…a62bbacked Linette | 62c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…1afcbacked Linette | 70c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Magda Linettethis page
- Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)Linette won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.