TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6fc…3e7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Argentina Open: Alex Barrena vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.8%+$101.33
Qatar Total Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$70.25
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$849.4
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,180
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.1%+$174.79
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$852
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+424%+$855.66
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$254.64
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$58.19
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.6%+$57.16
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+39.2%+$117.5
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$122.97
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37.6%+$71
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+70.3%+$66.37
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesanabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37%+$110.96
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Martin Landalucebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$79.89
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+50.4%+$605.26
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39%+$780.69
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.8%+$575.97
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$104.55
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$126.32
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$167.99
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$214
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30.8%+$123.07
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$57.97
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.65
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+37%+$85.07
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$161.33
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$742.86
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.72
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$119.95
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.5%+$226.37
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,245
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+34.8%+$269.34
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+30%+$90
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$254.99
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$732
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$48.16
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$418
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84.83
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+26.5%+$171.93
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$17.21
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+48.7%+$170.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$84.62
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$325
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+54.4%+$435.01
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.8%+$53.3
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+50.7%+$73.17
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Predators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$104.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick73cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$101.01
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$330.84
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
LoL: LNG Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$268.97
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+41.2%+$55.08
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$140.37
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$156.59
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+171%+$29.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+67.4%+$6.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$60.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.2%+$135.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.