NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913b67f7c8b370247f1370cde82e3fd661a5449f2573ba271bce95d47c442784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,668,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,862,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,668,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 883 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lions | 77c | 699,905$538,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538,926.65 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…cab2backed Steelers | 23c | 500,000$115,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384,999.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Steelers | 57c | 305,701$174,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,866.37 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Lions | 78c | 260,000$202,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Steelers | 23c | 245,180$56,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,484.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Steelers | 23c | 160,000$36,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,200 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lions | 72c | 111,974$80,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,452.63 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Steelers | 27c | 104,910$28,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,900.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Steelers | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,000 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Steelers | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lions | 76c | 88,892$67,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,614.83 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Steelers | 32c | 75,337$24,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,028.92 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 23c | 60,341$13,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750.88 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Steelers | 34c | 52,136$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,636.27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Lions | 77c | 39,543$30,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,448.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lions | 23c | 37,803$8,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,692.58 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lions | 77c | 35,551$27,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,374.38 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Steelers | 53c | 33,906$17,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,093.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Steelers | 23c | 33,800$7,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,026 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Lions | 77c | 32,350$24,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,901.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,200 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lions | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,099.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Steelers | 24c | 27,044$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,640.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lions | 29c | 26,138$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.56 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Lions | 37c | 25,407$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lions | 75c | 24,863$18,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,674.31 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lions | 49c | 22,165$10,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,794.37 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Steelers | 22c | 20,406$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,917.04 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 47c | 20,298$9,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,479.64 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Steelers | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Lions | 34c | 19,635$6,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.85 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Steelers | 42c | 17,147$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.13 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 76c | 17,023$12,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,861.67 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Steelers | 24c | 16,912$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,833.84 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lions | 74c | 16,500$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.96 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Lions | 74c | 15,200$11,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,247.95 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lions | 76c | 14,581$11,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,089.97 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Lions | 67c | 14,000$9,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,380 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions | 45c | 12,957$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.99 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Steelers | 24c | 12,659$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680.3 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lions | 34c | 12,230$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.15 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 23c | 12,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…249ebacked Lions | 43c | 12,000$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lions | 29c | 11,893$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.03 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Steelers | 61c | 11,637$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.47 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Lions | 74c | 11,312$8,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Lions | 10c | 10,862$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lions | 75c | 10,834$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.65 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Steelers | 30c | 10,704$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.97 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Steelers | 25c | 10,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lions | 78c | 9,703$7,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,568.17 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Steelers | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,115.38 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 71c | 9,234$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.04 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lions | 35c | 8,506$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.11 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Lions | 1c | 8,180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Steelers | 53c | 8,151$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lions | 75c | 7,947$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.85 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Steelers | 50c | 7,873$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Lions | 51c | 7,856$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Steelers | 23c | 7,413$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.89 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Steelers | 36c | 7,031$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.2 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Lions | 33c | 6,579$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Lions | 41c | 6,553$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 24c | 6,028$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.93 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Steelers | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.98 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Lions | 76c | 5,977$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 77c | 5,632$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.51 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Lions | 71c | 5,619$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Steelers | 23c | 5,596$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Steelers | 71c | 5,575$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.03 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Lions | 55c | 5,231$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 49c | 5,149$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.84 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Steelers | 33c | 5,141$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lions | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Steelers | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Steelers | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Lions | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 75c | 4,727$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.2 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lions | 1c | 4,700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…c4d9backed Steelers | 32c | 4,685$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lions | 76c | 4,400$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lions | 38c | 4,331$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.22 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Steelers | 9c | 4,082$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.71 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lions | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Lions | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Steelers | 34c | 3,700$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.73 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Lions | 3c | 3,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…962bbacked Steelers | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Steelers | 23c | 3,478$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.26 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lions | 73c | 3,365$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.75 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Steelers | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.33 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…8f95backed Lions | 74c | 3,311$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…3f00backed Steelers | 26c | 3,307$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 59c | 3,296$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.64 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Steelers | 23c | 3,043$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.48 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Steelers | 73c | 3,032$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.44 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Steelers | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Lions | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Lions | 24c | 3,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions | 55c | 2,961$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.02 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Steelers vs. Lionsthis page
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Steelers won
- Steelers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 50.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.