NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf10b6fe670d4f835a34ca37886d8e702c8fe934289f191031cf500098e21c19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Lions, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lions | 50c | 90,500$45,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,250 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Steelers | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lions | 50c | 21,941$10,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,970.56 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Lions | 46c | 21,230$9,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,765.75 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Steelers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Steelers | 49c | 17,148$8,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.28 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Steelers | 49c | 15,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.98 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Steelers | 50c | 12,462$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 51c | 9,405$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.76 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lions | 51c | 8,750$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.5 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Steelers | 50c | 8,232$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.72 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lions | 46c | 7,976$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.8 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 47c | 6,542$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.95 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Lions | 53c | 5,977$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.05 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 51c | 5,009$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.02 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Lions | 51c | 4,426$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.07 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lions | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lions | 47c | 3,813$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.36 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lions | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Steelers | 55c | 2,020$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Steelers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lions | 43c | 1,709$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.13 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lions | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Lions | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Steelers | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.51 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Lions | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…cdcdbacked Lions | 51c | 950$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lions | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Lions | 33c | 598.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Lions | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Lions | 46c | 564.07$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lions | 48c | 560.84$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 54c | 545.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Lions | 49c | 485$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Steelers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…aa20backed Steelers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Steelers | 60c | 400$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Lions | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Lions | 37c | 337.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Lions | 46c | 315.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Steelers | 50c | 286$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Steelers | 51c | 264.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lions | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lions | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 13c | 249$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lions | 49c | 225.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lions | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Steelers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Lions | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a3…41d0backed Lions | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Steelers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lions | 12c | 128.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Lions | 29c | 119.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Steelers | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Steelers | 53c | 113.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lions | 47c | 111.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Steelers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Lions | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Steelers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Steelers | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Steelers | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Steelers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Steelers | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Steelers | 52c | 87.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Steelers | 56c | 86.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…bb98backed Lions | 52c | 83.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Steelers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Steelers | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Steelers | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Lions | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Lions | 51c | 52.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Steelers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lions | 42c | 45.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2356…ddf5backed Steelers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…f50fbacked Lions | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Steelers | 50c | 40.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…eca9backed Steelers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Steelers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…05fcbacked Steelers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Steelers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Steelers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Steelers | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Lions | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Steelers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lions | 47c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Lions | 46c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Steelers | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Steelers | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Steelers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Steelers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Steelers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Steelers won
- Steelers vs. LionsSteelers won
- Steelers vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 50.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 51.5Over won
- Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.