TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35de…b39a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$552.55
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$640.47
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$469
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$315.49
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$250
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$556.45
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+107.6%+$543.42
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$478
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$254.55
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$162.98
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$463
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$277.97
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$173.13
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.92
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.27
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$144.68
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$57.06
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.71
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.47
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$94.7
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$131.96
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.73
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.66
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$74.94
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$164.23
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$406.06
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+162.6%+$308.87
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$221.84
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+128.6%+$154.3
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$358.04
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$468.9
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$716.57
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.33
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.51
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$513.8
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$254
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$263.22
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$152.88
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+183.7%+$137.81
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$153.23
Penn State vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ohio State vs. Washingtonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.53
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$65.23
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$70.48
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$78.38
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$149.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$57.68
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+276.6%+$105.11
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$269
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.86
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$394
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$365
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$223.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.