CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b50e1a6e9b2279a8235e00ae63b0769c4c6310e0af9761103b1b44993a31001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $674,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $674,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 24,384$14,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,494.46 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Astralis | 14c | 19,873$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,090.53 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 12c | 18,324$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,088.37 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Astralis | 26c | 13,332$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,865.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 13,280$7,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,183.91 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Astralis | 36c | 12,843$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.8 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 11,264$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.09 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 10,297$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.12 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 49c | 9,937$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 8,933$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.65 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Aurora Gaming | 12c | 8,269$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.83 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.99 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 36c | 7,478$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.45 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Astralis | 49c | 7,380$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.28 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Astralis | 71c | 7,034$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.91 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.98 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 39c | 6,903$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.67 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…d02abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 6,465$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 44c | 6,434$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 25c | 6,000$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.18 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Astralis | 31c | 5,761$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.94 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Astralis | 50c | 4,900$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 4,534$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.7 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Astralis | 58c | 4,495$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.14 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 48c | 4,128$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.54 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Astralis | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 3,907$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Astralis | 31c | 3,884$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.32 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Astralis | 37c | 3,384$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.7 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Astralis | 52c | 3,185$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,144$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 3,095$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.12 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 35c | 3,046$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.75 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 3,032$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.97 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astralis | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.95 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Astralis | 17c | 2,943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.65 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,906$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.82 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,896$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.6 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Astralis | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Astralis | 40c | 2,495$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.12 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Astralis | 42c | 2,350$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Astralis | 14c | 2,300$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,258$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Astralis | 26c | 1,963$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.16 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,902$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.79 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Astralis | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Astralis | 32c | 1,850$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.5 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 1,846$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,726$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.19 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Astralis | 54c | 1,711$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.29 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 28c | 1,548$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.32 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Astralis | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,428$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.85 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Astralis | 71c | 1,410$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Astralis | 37c | 1,350$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,349$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.36 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,345$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Aurora Gaming | 16c | 1,322$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,321$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.48 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Astralis | 36c | 1,249$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.36 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 1,175$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Astralis | 52c | 1,169$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Astralis | 49c | 1,143$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.84 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,050$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Astralis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Astralis | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Astralis | 25c | 966.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…c21abacked Astralis | 53c | 958.45$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…a8a3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 894.35$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Astralis | 23c | 883.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.39 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 876.62$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Astralis | 37c | 835.48$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.56 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…8622backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 829.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Astralis | 38c | 812.42$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…68b1backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 800.01$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 777$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d0…0619backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 764.68$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 749.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Astralis | 26c | 735.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.11 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 704.32$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f93bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Astralis | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 37c | 675$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.