CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4f1166e76b0b434db7ab39c621c347008eddae705337bdaa5970a1e6c171ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 4c | 10,318$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.71 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 9,578$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.95 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 8,225$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.7 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Astralis | 21c | 4,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…a8a3backed Astralis | 6c | 3,400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Astralis | 47c | 3,339$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 31c | 2,459$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Astralis | 31c | 2,125$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.41 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Astralis | 4c | 2,100$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Astralis | 40c | 1,843$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.17 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Astralis | 26c | 1,631$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 25c | 1,605$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…d0f2backed Astralis | 4c | 1,507$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 24c | 1,291$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.04 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 18c | 1,202$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis | 7c | 992.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 990.37$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.63 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 988.06$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.06 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Astralis | 31c | 964.71$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Astralis | 50c | 888$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Astralis | 20c | 842.82$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 31c | 805.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Astralis | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed Astralis | 27c | 555.46$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Astralis | 34c | 532.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 504.71$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Astralis | 13c | 499.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Astralis | 16c | 494.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 446.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Astralis | 12c | 439.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 4c | 420$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 336.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Astralis | 21c | 314.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Astralis | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…14e9backed Astralis | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 279.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Astralis | 11c | 270.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ad…4bc9backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Astralis | 28c | 210.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Astralis | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 175.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis | 34c | 174.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6389backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 174.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 173.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Astralis | 41c | 157.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Astralis | 52c | 153.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Astralis | 40c | 148.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 131.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Astralis | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Astralis | 50c | 120.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Astralis | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Astralis | 41c | 112.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 41c | 108$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked Astralis | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Astralis | 33c | 100.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Astralis | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 92.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Astralis | 25c | 91.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 88.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…ea02backed Astralis | 17c | 82.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 80.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Astralis | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 42c | 67.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…d96dbacked Astralis | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…75bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Astralis | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…48b8backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 36.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467f…d952backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 35.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Astralis | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Astralis | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Astralis | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…4589backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 26.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 23.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Astralis | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3f…b964backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.