CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73693d3a87cf9744b64ca553c21ff87480bc25232744ba5d9bec04aac126acdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 4,311$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 58c | 4,216$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.1 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 61c | 2,911$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Under | 61c | 1,026$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.46 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Over | 73c | 685.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 53c | 567.83$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 52c | 383.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 47c | 319.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 68c | 302.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 32c | 242.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 48c | 199.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Under | 50c | 75.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Under | 66c | 58.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 23c | 46.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed Under | 66c | 45.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 35c | 42.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…c791backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Under | 58c | 25.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.