TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee8b…1610

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked Passion Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne (BO3)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)backed RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$55.33
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Players vs RED Canids Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.24
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO1)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$23.42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.34
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$30.18
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.77
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.69
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$48.29
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.86
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.84
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.78
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.54
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+89.1%+$61.5
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$27.67
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+158.4%+$86.81
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$41
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.19
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$169.16
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$71.65
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.8
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.57
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.53
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$306.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.99
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.51
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.2%+$8.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+802.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$165.37
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,704.6%+$357.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Temple Owls vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$66.19
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.81
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.