Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce111102bcbe0b07e28de7c385f75744ecab77c263523cd05cec3811d712ca2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 11,111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 4,700$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.31 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,042$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.41 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed No | 37c | 2,065$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 32c | 1,678$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Yes | 29c | 1,596$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 1,573$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,193$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.68 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,050$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 9c | 754.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…fb1cbacked Yes | 68c | 734.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 41c | 720$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 55c | 704.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.79 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 39c | 665.17$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.44 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Yes | 31c | 650$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Yes | 62c | 638$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.72 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 541.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 58c | 392$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 265$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Yes | 22c | 244.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Yes | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…4dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 53c | 192.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 7c | 179.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Yes | 51c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045e…e60abacked Yes | 67c | 131.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…df35backed Yes | 56c | 107.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…d79cbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 61c | 54.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed Yes | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8d…82d2backed Yes | 56c | 43.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1facbacked Yes | 56c | 36.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…d56cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…c563backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will New Zealand win?Yes won
- Will West Indies win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.