Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23f81e1a94940891bfc27651d1b329ebad4308b75bb5288668bcc779e310b98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc295…dde9backed Yes | 59c | 2,405$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.12 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 32c | 2,009$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.69 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked No | 20c | 1,567$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 61c | 768.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 47c | 581.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 56c | 425$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 422.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Yes | 47c | 332.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 57c | 318.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.57 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 55c | 291.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 50c | 274.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 74c | 271.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed No | 23c | 270$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed No | 8c | 264.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…5228backed No | 58c | 214.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed No | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…7068backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 16c | 182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 17c | 177$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 20c | 163.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked No | 18c | 159$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 149.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5d…abc5backed Yes | 44c | 113.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 69c | 90.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…5ea3backed Yes | 32c | 81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 53c | 73.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 73.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed No | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…18d7backed Yes | 46c | 62.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7b…7784backed Yes | 50c | 43.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 79c | 40.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f50…7077backed Yes | 59c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…3796backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…103ebacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…d68bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will West Indies win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.