TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf619…5228

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT7343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.17
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$570.18
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+62%+$535.26
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$219.14
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+39%+$461.44
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$454.24
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$439.25
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$338.05
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$336.74
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$103.22
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+290.5%+$363.1
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122%+$213.58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$1,622.77
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.2
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+177.8%+$62.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.62
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$54.87
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.54
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+337.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$409.71
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$110.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.