Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e23fc775925dca0a3ac4000f95d4bf885388cd3190c17c9d87f8397b887bf69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $742,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 50,894$31,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,554.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 54c | 50,196$27,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,182.84 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 33c | 49,490$16,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,326.89 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 43,980$23,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,120.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 33,893$15,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,284.9 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 28,287$15,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,212.17 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 37c | 26,916$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 75c | 25,661$19,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.8 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 25,025$13,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,751.73 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed No | 53c | 23,408$12,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 41c | 21,085$8,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 63c | 19,766$12,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.33 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 19,308$8,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,997.89 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 52c | 17,264$8,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,286.6 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 53c | 14,150$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,650.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 53c | 12,268$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.11 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.93 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 54c | 9,859$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.29 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 7,971$4,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.48 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 7,376$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.71 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 57c | 7,151$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.39 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 46c | 7,052$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 41c | 6,999$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.73 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 62c | 6,774$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.03 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 49c | 5,235$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.22 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 5,234$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 4,903$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 41c | 4,858$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.9 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 45c | 4,667$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 54c | 4,613$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.05 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…6afebacked Yes | 45c | 4,480$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 4,471$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.87 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…56d9backed No | 60c | 4,144$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 53c | 3,882$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 55c | 3,840$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.99 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 36c | 3,488$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 36c | 3,266$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.83 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,223$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.03 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 2,999$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.75 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,953$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 47c | 2,893$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 47c | 2,801$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 62c | 2,529$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.43 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 2,303$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.19 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed No | 55c | 2,164$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.33 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.32 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 61c | 1,939$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.63 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 46c | 1,736$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,511$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.94 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 40c | 1,422$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.53 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 1,406$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.17 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…dfdabacked Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 44c | 1,362$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 45c | 1,221$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 54c | 1,125$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 63c | 1,108$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 1,096$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.6 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 36c | 1,031$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed No | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…402dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 40c | 967.43$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 46c | 937.66$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 65c | 924.62$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Yes | 45c | 899.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked No | 54c | 899.95$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Yes | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.