TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06df…3b05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Earnings at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$124.2
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
France to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$111.7
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
England to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.7
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.25
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$121
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$599.98
France to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$120.64
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$890
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$101.48
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$292
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$50.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$180.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$10,079.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$9,799.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100.7%+$602.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,731.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$16,639.93
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,925Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+269.4%+$10,574.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,279.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,727.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$86.69
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+119.4%+$7,619.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,248.76
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,199.99
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$284
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$408.4
Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$2,819.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,937.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+203%+$502.43
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$168.53
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.64
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$414.76
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.99
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$192.49
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$34.55
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,073Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,839.05
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,485.68
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$615.34
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$791.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$590
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,530
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,793.5
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,023.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,379.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+198.3%+$1,512.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$832.02
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+459.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+171%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+198.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,041.18
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.7%+$736.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$222.69
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.33
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$108.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.