TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No7c39,500$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.1829545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No6c34,030$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.569536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No9c31,533$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.559028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No10c21,648$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.4879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No6c13,218$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.117424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No10c9,461$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.19450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No5c7,286$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.319052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c5,427$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No9c4,836$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.146538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No11c4,453$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.7253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No18c3,252$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No9c2,200$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+64.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes79c1,712$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.362733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No9c1,569$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5211820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No5c1,370$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.510438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No6c1,200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No10c1,082$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.334334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed No10c917.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.69728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No26c899.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6410441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No8c835.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8615851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No5c800$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No16c795.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No12c700.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.855740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes80c700$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.923762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No10c599.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c587.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No34c508.08$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.812462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes73c503.33$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.465644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No9c445.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.063743.2%16 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+88.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No21c421.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.119134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No19c413.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes59c411$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5111049.1%54 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No10c388.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No9c369$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.219353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e83…983dbacked Yes67c340.83$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No10c340.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.455040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed No6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked No7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No8c279$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Yes72c277.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.122740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No12c267.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7942458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes75c262$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3713824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No11c257$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.272937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1269…9a11backed No11c254.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No6c232.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540e…ffedbacked Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes67c193.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.912441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No8c172.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.459250%46 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes66c145.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4522553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb518…59aabacked Yes64c130$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4935…4662backed Yes64c119.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No22c108.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No22c96.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes66c90.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8415062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes73c76.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7426242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes66c56.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No20c50.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfdb…512cbacked No36c50.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes63c42.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6817036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes67c37.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.257045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1382…a266backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes60c27.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Yes69c26.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a5…a875backed Yes72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.399949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes66c21.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.355952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x726d…b10dbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.14057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes64c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.27263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.