TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9792…9212

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+217.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+1,900%+$1,361.41
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$89.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$256.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$157.64
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$61.6
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$149.29
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$237.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+674.9%+$123.71
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$239.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$191.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$187.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$605.56
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100.7%+$522.07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200.79
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+2,710.6%+$1,330.89
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$548.11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200.07
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$246.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$177.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$173.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$89.4
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$180.25
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$490.79
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69.18
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$549.56
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.15
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.06
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$444.84
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$262.48
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$383.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+70.4%+$382.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$149.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$121
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$542.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27.87
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$59.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$223.5
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$280
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$219.02
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$679.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$701.4
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$396
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+223.3%+$462.75
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$523.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$885.49
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$403.3
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Senators vs. Wildbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$137.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$104.81
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80.77
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$176
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Cut Octoberbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 61-62°F on October 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$264
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.