Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf61d48b12e5d65ccc832051834cd39f6f507c6f8969ceab6569af64c7b23e17b

Rebuilt 38 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,456,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,025,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,456,833 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3974…a98dbacked Yes	0c	93,959$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.84	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed Yes	0c	56,369$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	43,500$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.07	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	5c	35,996$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625.94	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	25c	24,914$6,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,225.54	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	4c	20,750$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…810bbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82cf…0998backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+3.9wins	+0.21per pick	27cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5866…b85abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	18,500$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.97	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfc…be2bbacked Yes	0c	17,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	2c	16,000$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.55	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	14,239$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…fe34backed Yes	0c	12,476$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	89	0%0 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Yes	2c	11,455$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.64	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd0…657abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb2…2505backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	3c	9,462$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.41	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes	1c	8,470$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-60%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	7,896$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.96	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	2c	7,266$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	10c	6,275$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.48	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	10c	6,070$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.06	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	5,922$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.14	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes	1c	5,300$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	20c	5,281$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.77	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…368cbacked No	75c	5,156$3,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.81	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	18c	5,011$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.67	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	72c	4,950$3,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365.48	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	4,304$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.99	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	77c	4,216$3,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.76	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	3,500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	3,491$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	3,307$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.44	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eee…9704backed Yes	11c	3,242$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.61	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	19c	3,231$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.25	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	25c	3,165$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	3c	3,103$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2031…2325backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	12c	3,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.99	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No	79c	2,962$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.71	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	25c	2,806$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.37	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	76c	2,796$2,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.09	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	13c	2,779$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	30c	2,750$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.78	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	23c	2,701$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.94	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	25c	2,602$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.8	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	25c	2,514$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.98	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	9c	2,500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	2,391$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.8	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes	26c	2,331$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.09	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	20c	2,295$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.39	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	9c	2,200$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	2,170$1,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.38	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	25c	2,050$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes	30c	2,000$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.83	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	10c	2,000$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.04	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	23c	1,944$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.1	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	11c	1,900$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	9c	1,890$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.02	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	23c	1,877$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	72c	1,850$1,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,833$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes	1c	1,800$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes	5c	1,800$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	83	14.5%12 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,751$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	12c	1,746$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.68	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes	29c	1,734$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	21c	1,697$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	24c	1,677$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.69	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	10c	1,662$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.38	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	26c	1,656$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.86	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	21c	1,608$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.9	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e2…0b33backed Yes	1c	1,600$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	1,588$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	14c	1,587$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.58	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes	4c	1,512$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c4…a309backed Yes	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+150.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	7c	1,475$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.12	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	16c	1,440$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.6	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e2…01f2backed Yes	1c	1,436$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1707…9b9fbacked Yes	8c	1,430$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	5c	1,391$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.17	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	22c	1,388$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	29c	1,381$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	+17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	5c	1,351$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.5	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	3c	1,316$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x487b…f382backed Yes	28c	1,291$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.71	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9b…7ff2backed Yes	4c	1,251$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.03	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	16c	1,171$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.31	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e3…e2acbacked Yes	26c	1,142$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,129$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	25c	1,111$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.75	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e26…e972backed Yes	9c	1,100$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	22c	1,100$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Yes	10c	1,089$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.46	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	12c	1,077$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event