Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546b85a76cca3eee429333f23aa15a12b32fd9c1ab0129cfe63d4d0d1150339f

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $390,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $253,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	50,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	1c	25,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f92…1a91backed Yes	7c	14,790$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	10,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.39	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	7,146$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf90b…cb6cbacked Yes	16c	6,953$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	0c	5,851$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes	16c	4,422$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.59	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…104bbacked Yes	0c	4,394$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	4,367$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c49…7af9backed Yes	5c	3,822$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	13c	3,608$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	2c	3,590$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.05	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Yes	1c	3,040$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	17c	2,963$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	2,737$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.97	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718b…e3c2backed Yes	1c	2,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c60…9d17backed Yes	11c	2,361$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+25%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	15c	2,319$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.89	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	2,310$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.32	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef15…26c0backed Yes	11c	2,300$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,278$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.02	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	9c	2,265$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.28	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	4c	2,224$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	16c	2,000$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	1,918$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.34	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,894$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Yes	14c	1,753$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	17c	1,746$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0a…b7d2backed Yes	13c	1,692$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	6c	1,630$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.8	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Yes	12c	1,561$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.02	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3731…fb76backed Yes	15c	1,400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…1d82backed Yes	1c	1,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf44f…70c2backed Yes	13c	1,279$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212e…fb78backed Yes	3c	1,273$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b91…f577backed Yes	14c	1,256$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.09	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Yes	17c	1,200$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.16	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	15c	1,167$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.49	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	14c	1,126$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.99	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f7…6c8abacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…2d3abacked Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	15c	988.82$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.33	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9186…0666backed Yes	15c	931.97$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…592fbacked Yes	2c	900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	7c	878.21$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.68	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	12c	834.89$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.84	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	16c	832.02$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.72	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	15c	799.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	8c	784.69$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.25	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…e161backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes	13c	763.61$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.04	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	12c	729.43$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.35	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	17c	650$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.85	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cae…92d7backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8936…79ebbacked Yes	16c	616.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7d…d4adbacked Yes	16c	612.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7847…fc71backed Yes	13c	600.31$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.96	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	10c	600$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…7ff4backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039d…a1bcbacked Yes	11c	545.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf5…443bbacked Yes	19c	528.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	16c	505.77$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ff…721fbacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes	9c	499.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…bd3fbacked Yes	11c	459.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f1…fe4ebacked Yes	14c	449.98$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes	16c	448.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	15c	427.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.09	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…6874backed Yes	14c	416.93$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.71	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf98a…0e35backed Yes	5c	409.09$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…c988backed Yes	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e8…db25backed Yes	16c	400$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed1…a7fbbacked Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	11c	397.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3929…9b32backed Yes	15c	394.06$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb5…d17fbacked Yes	18c	366$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.82	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	14c	360$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe898…7116backed Yes	8c	355$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2b…3994backed Yes	14c	350.88$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.63	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…bc54backed Yes	10c	327.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.85	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	8c	325.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.07	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911e…c0fdbacked Yes	4c	308$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	16c	307.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	7c	302.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Yes	17c	300.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6078…a677backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0927…6486backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	12c	300$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…f940backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	24cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes	10c	299.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…25a8backed Yes	17c	298.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…a9cdbacked Yes	11c	295.47$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event