Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12802d302fe57107fc1b3f691c04e4487998f654c76d16aab39dfe24a6b634b8

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $985,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $624,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	3c	87,763$2,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.08	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	7c	34,975$2,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.31	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	7c	25,000$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,732.51	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	10c	22,174$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145.77	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0338…70cfbacked Yes	15c	19,130$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.74	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	15c	17,558$2,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,609.29	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	14,459$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.1	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	12,389$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.17	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	16c	11,646$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,902.95	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	23c	11,178$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,552.21	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	18c	11,000$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,964.71	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	19c	10,756$2,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,075.66	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	19c	9,833$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,832.82	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	9,789$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.49	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	10c	7,299$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.26	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	7,190$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.85	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	11c	6,880$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.41	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	6,500$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	3c	6,393$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.83	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	15c	5,812$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.49	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	9c	5,780$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.01	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	26c	5,385$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.57	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	16c	5,190$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.04	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	11c	5,155$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.41	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d55…d3a1backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	4,964$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9165backed Yes	20c	4,946$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.03	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	13c	4,840$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.56	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12cc…275dbacked Yes	3c	4,718$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.1	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	28c	4,581$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.88	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	11c	4,117$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.96	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c2…468bbacked Yes	16c	3,745$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	11c	3,400$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70be…2c90backed Yes	19c	3,201$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.11	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	15c	3,179$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.92	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	3,145$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.24	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	77c	3,065$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.7	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	13c	3,029$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.07	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	12c	2,900$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	12c	2,686$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.68	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	2,542$1,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.92	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	23c	2,500$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.45	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	2,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	4c	2,464$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.48	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Yes	32c	2,415$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.03	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	2c	2,412$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.47	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	29c	2,362$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.04	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	14c	2,244$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.79	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	78c	2,210$1,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.05	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	2c	2,200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.4	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	2,186$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.01	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	3c	2,132$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	2,127$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.19	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	19c	2,082$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.87	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbef…7de2backed Yes	14c	2,000$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.64	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8178…dc7abacked Yes	8c	2,000$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	+9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…f929backed Yes	7c	1,995$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	24c	1,934$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.5	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	16c	1,908$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.28	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	28c	1,812$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	3c	1,803$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	17c	1,703$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.33	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	42c	1,700$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.96	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	3c	1,650$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	12c	1,644$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	1c	1,610$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a30…f47dbacked Yes	10c	1,581$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.46	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	9c	1,520$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.58	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	29c	1,515$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.48	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes	20c	1,500$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.5	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729e…e23ebacked Yes	24c	1,461$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	238	31.1%74 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c50…bc45backed Yes	35c	1,433$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	30c	1,357$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.32	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f2…a981backed Yes	8c	1,299$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	14c	1,280$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.17	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	19c	1,254$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.19	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	17c	1,204$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	34c	1,171$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98a…0e35backed Yes	1c	1,143$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	7c	1,142$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	5c	1,129$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	13c	1,113$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e77…8786backed No	80c	1,106$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…025cbacked Yes	18c	1,100$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ed…62ebbacked Yes	21c	1,072$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.72	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	23c	1,066$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…3c87backed Yes	8c	1,006$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.51	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6d…d787backed Yes	4c	999.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	3c	999.96$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	19c	974.55$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.27	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	7c	972.87$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.61	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1707…9b9fbacked Yes	33c	911.83$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	3c	900$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	29c	857.15$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.13	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	825.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4be…58f2backed Yes	16c	822$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.45	53	17%9 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27c6…e143backed Yes	20c	813.84$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.72	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	19c	808.41$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.93	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	16c	798.49$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	15c	795$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.85	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event