Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae944562a6dcb72f34428155b89fbd4d97ae8f2bbfbf0b5909a9ab66cb54fa7a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,189,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $674,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,189,918 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	0c	65,085$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.16	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e2…01f2backed Yes	0c	42,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	31,705$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.62	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	23c	24,900$5,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,631.37	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…1739backed Yes	1c	23,033$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2031…2325backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b2…ff45backed Yes	5c	19,867$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+116.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…8b1abacked Yes	0c	17,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	0c	16,751$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77cc…c92bbacked Yes	0c	16,544$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x055a…1982backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	12,153$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	11,501$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.68	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	1c	10,389$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	0c	10,167$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e3…aefabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+108%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…9514backed Yes	5c	9,222$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.59	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	8,277$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f3…ebbbbacked Yes	0c	8,024$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	8c	6,868$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.66	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	25c	5,865$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.75	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	5,125$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	11c	5,100$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	12c	4,860$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.44	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	9c	4,800$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.51	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	11c	4,551$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.71	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	4,300$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	18c	4,225$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	13c	4,150$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	14c	4,049$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.29	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	8c	3,848$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.52	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,823$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.01	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes	18c	3,746$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.3	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	78c	3,713$2,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.02	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0338…70cfbacked Yes	13c	3,675$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	10c	3,645$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.75	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	16c	3,454$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.34	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…86bfbacked Yes	18c	2,903$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.1	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	9c	2,842$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.21	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes	16c	2,816$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	16c	2,800$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	2,774$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.07	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3470…92fdbacked Yes	2c	2,673$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	16c	2,642$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.34	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d6…7268backed Yes	24c	2,608$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1cd…8bc0backed Yes	16c	2,593$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	12c	2,482$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.82	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	15c	2,382$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	2,278$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.75	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	18c	2,267$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes	3c	2,266$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-60%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	2c	2,250$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes	24c	2,100$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e63…fc18backed Yes	2c	2,060$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Yes	17c	2,000$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.83	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes	19c	2,000$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.23	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	2c	2,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9165backed Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	80c	1,959$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.49	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes	13c	1,912$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.36	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	14c	1,730$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	11c	1,728$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.87	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	19c	1,707$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.72	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	+17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	17c	1,700$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	10c	1,630$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.67	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	5c	1,618$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.83	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	16c	1,573$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.61	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	7c	1,520$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b5…9631backed Yes	27c	1,506$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	21c	1,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes	2c	1,488$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a46…156ebacked Yes	2c	1,454$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec71…b751backed Yes	3c	1,432$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	26c	1,368$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.02	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e3…49fabacked Yes	8c	1,360$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	67	14.9%10 W · 57 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	1,353$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f8…96afbacked Yes	7c	1,336$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	15c	1,330$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	21c	1,314$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.81	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	17c	1,258$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.92	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	12c	1,255$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.19	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	13c	1,200$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.14	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x487b…f382backed Yes	12c	1,191$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	21c	1,181$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.79	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75ce…0a6fbacked Yes	13c	1,150$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Yes	15c	1,146$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	14c	1,090$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.58	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…a73abacked Yes	1c	1,090$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb7…f008backed Yes	7c	1,085$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x469c…5edebacked Yes	19c	1,070$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…321dbacked Yes	13c	1,065$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.95	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	6c	1,063$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.11	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6201…d386backed Yes	17c	1,062$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.59	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Yes	1c	1,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df3…6180backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…3c87backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event