Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494eabe3d2d59a3f8130994cbc21944c5d44a32e10531436ded7b91d02afae80

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,429,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $793,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,429,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	136,884$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.43	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	6c	63,305$3,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…9d86backed Yes	0c	48,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	17c	37,622$6,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,429.25	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	9c	31,753$2,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,921.7	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	19c	25,557$4,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,886.52	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	10c	23,773$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,271.68	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…1739backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	18,107$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,912.47	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	16c	17,590$2,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,830.02	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	15,606$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.16	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	19c	15,343$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,884.53	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	19c	13,483$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,497.51	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes	0c	13,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	33	3%1 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1589…688bbacked Yes	19c	10,136$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.05	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+246%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	30c	9,328$2,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,754.79	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	9c	9,125$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.09	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c0…9165backed Yes	25c	7,581$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.69	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	25c	7,434$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.48	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	31c	6,698$2,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,105.54	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed No	66c	5,948$3,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,017.19	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	1c	5,890$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.89	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	5,569$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.57	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x663a…5c51backed Yes	2c	5,215$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.67	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	70c	5,200$3,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.66	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d55…d3a1backed Yes	24c	5,072$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes	4c	4,908$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…fabdbacked Yes	9c	4,827$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.02	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	15c	4,192$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.84	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…9514backed Yes	21c	4,052$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.89	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	1c	3,823$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0643…8eccbacked Yes	6c	3,700$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.85	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	3,589$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.18	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	67c	3,467$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.03	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	28c	3,450$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.68	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	22c	3,318$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.7	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	19c	3,164$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.35	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	24c	3,057$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.42	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes	11c	3,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.99	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbda0…8992backed Yes	26c	2,959$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.88	166	21.7%36 W · 130 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	27c	2,840$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.47	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	1c	2,840$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	27c	2,802$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	17c	2,736$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.25	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	34c	2,686$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.6	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	18c	2,683$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.29	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	27c	2,601$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.69	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	18c	2,540$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.35	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	2,440$1,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.98	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecef…75fabacked Yes	16c	2,421$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.1	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	22c	2,376$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Yes	26c	2,299$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes	3c	2,255$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	77c	2,250$1,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.98	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	2c	2,225$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.73	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	11c	2,213$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.18	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828d…c9a5backed Yes	20c	2,212$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.38	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	5c	2,200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Yes	25c	2,156$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.71	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1cd…8bc0backed Yes	19c	2,129$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.97	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f59…3b40backed No	75c	2,060$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.76	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	16c	2,020$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.07	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8178…dc7abacked Yes	16c	2,000$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.65	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	+9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes	25c	2,000$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.84	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes	5c	2,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	71c	1,934$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.69	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cf7…aba5backed Yes	20c	1,866$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	19c	1,825$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.4	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	25c	1,790$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.87	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	63c	1,790$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.68	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	22c	1,770$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.71	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Yes	22c	1,750$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.75	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	8c	1,688$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.22	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	23c	1,661$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b24…5b1fbacked Yes	31c	1,638$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b5…0f8cbacked Yes	32c	1,589$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.77	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f6…95d5backed Yes	14c	1,576$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.04	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	25c	1,568$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.22	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c4…a309backed Yes	24c	1,500$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.21	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	16cpaid	+150.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	17c	1,486$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.92	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	24c	1,470$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.5	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	68c	1,465$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.8	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	19c	1,463$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.94	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x856c…7e2ebacked Yes	22c	1,426$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.72	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes	34c	1,400$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.53	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6d…d787backed Yes	12c	1,397$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.65	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e77…8876backed No	61c	1,357$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.12	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ed…62ebbacked Yes	21c	1,352$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.93	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	8c	1,351$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d3…15dfbacked No	64c	1,351$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	22c	1,345$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.35	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1707…9b9fbacked Yes	22c	1,289$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a30…f47dbacked Yes	25c	1,259$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.42	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	19c	1,251$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.74	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc965…9948backed No	74c	1,250$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.49	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f7…6c8abacked Yes	13c	1,215$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.78	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event