Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ae44cc1449fe439112e8703b9baaf537997edb43d92087acc9ea2adda5d8a0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $245,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	13,412$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	0c	9,756$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	1c	9,583$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…7ab9backed Yes	14c	4,069$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.62	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	3,876$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.23	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	7c	3,672$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.56	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…2d3abacked Yes	2c	3,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	2,872$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.67	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	7c	2,740$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.54	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	5c	2,447$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.73	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	1,919$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.9	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	1,888$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e4…0e38backed Yes	5c	1,829$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	7c	1,697$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.71	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes	9c	1,574$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.23	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	1,540$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	7c	1,224$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8936…79ebbacked Yes	13c	1,108$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Yes	4c	999.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0a…b7d2backed Yes	4c	976.49$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	16c	905.33$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	2c	839.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes	12c	825.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	15c	799.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.64	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes	3c	799.46$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	14c	791.32$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.05	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	3c	729.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	16c	700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.4	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202d…2dcdbacked Yes	15c	645.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328b…a089backed Yes	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	16c	625.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3731…fb76backed Yes	7c	620.8$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7847…fc71backed Yes	5c	600.19$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c58…b15cbacked Yes	4c	600$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	45	6.7%3 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Yes	16c	589$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes	7c	576.81$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.07	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	6c	571.43$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	15c	568.21$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.06	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes	10c	567.43$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…bdc5backed Yes	3c	561.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	2c	550$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	15c	541.34$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	521.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…721fbacked Yes	16c	500$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec4…5a28backed Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3929…9b32backed Yes	16c	446.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733e…859dbacked Yes	16c	436.41$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72a…ac4fbacked Yes	6c	410$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-79%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd630…fa11backed Yes	15c	404.39$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	12c	399.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes	17c	399.15$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…bc54backed Yes	3c	350.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f1…fe4ebacked Yes	9c	350$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb249…b434backed Yes	15c	330.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9d…68dbbacked Yes	10c	306.39$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2b…3994backed Yes	10c	300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	8c	300$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…d094backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f83…fcfdbacked Yes	7c	299.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd735…0aabbacked Yes	14c	295.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c35…5bd0backed Yes	10c	254.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38b5…41c3backed Yes	12c	250$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…7652backed Yes	6c	205$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.71	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Yes	14c	200.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe898…7116backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes	6c	198.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0927…6486backed Yes	12c	192.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes	15c	182.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8423…b93dbacked Yes	14c	181.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes	11c	180$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911e…c0fdbacked Yes	7c	179$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a19…81b9backed Yes	12c	170.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…d044backed Yes	12c	166.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…8697backed Yes	15c	164.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4250…5c32backed Yes	13c	152.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	11.8%8 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes	14c	144.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f4e…0782backed Yes	14c	143.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5286…025cbacked Yes	16c	135.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.77	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c37…adf5backed Yes	15c	132$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962a…f130backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…8860backed Yes	16c	122.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c08…8bacbacked Yes	14c	104.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdc7…1bfcbacked Yes	15c	101.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	16c	100.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac73…44fdbacked Yes	10c	100.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…cb0ebacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadb7…90b5backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777e…d384backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…76c8backed Yes	14c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3161…daf5backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	77	18.2%14 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddb…d96bbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Yes	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b04…6274backed Yes	13c	94.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ac…8460backed Yes	14c	75.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event