Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd6e227ece8a03ca2c5c96a5d566a8c89be199ee5a6fb1723e822b9b3a0ff088

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,014,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $643,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,258 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xade7…3831backed Yes	0c	87,900$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	0c	65,672$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.26	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3f…6b27backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes	0c	29,550$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	25,300$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.1	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19e…8eaabacked Yes	0c	24,538$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	4c	23,886$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.31	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ff…d98abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48db…c92abacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…9d93backed Yes	0c	15,196$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	15,115$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…1739backed Yes	0c	13,059$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0084…84c6backed Yes	1c	11,765$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x714b…abdfbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	9,958$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	8,700$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.11	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	3c	5,289$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.55	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	21c	4,889$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	20c	4,522$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	13c	4,240$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.19	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	4,079$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd37…6993backed Yes	20c	3,923$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c8…72acbacked Yes	0c	3,800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd394…3cc7backed Yes	18c	3,786$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes	26c	3,685$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.75	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-64%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0a…b7d2backed Yes	7c	3,369$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes	10c	3,339$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.18	70	11.4%8 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	3,061$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	2,937$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.62	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	2,929$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	21c	2,796$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,723$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.21	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7afa…5cb0backed Yes	2c	2,646$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	4c	2,437$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.72	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	1c	2,356$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718b…e3c2backed Yes	1c	2,230$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6078…a677backed Yes	13c	2,190$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.19	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82b…ae40backed Yes	5c	2,184$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+116.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	1c	2,111$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.61	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f7…6c8abacked Yes	5c	2,083$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	1c	2,001$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	5c	2,000$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	15c	2,000$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.99	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	1c	1,988$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a7…c755backed Yes	1c	1,960$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	19c	1,835$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…6577backed Yes	1c	1,833$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Yes	26c	1,561$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3731…fb76backed Yes	14c	1,537$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.6	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b91…f577backed Yes	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe898…7116backed Yes	3c	1,350$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…4fc0backed Yes	18c	1,345$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.4	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	13c	1,190$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.57	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes	13c	1,185$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.35	147	18.4%27 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Yes	18c	1,134$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd11…3401backed Yes	5c	1,087$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes	16c	1,081$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0dd…45e7backed Yes	8c	1,079$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.98	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x467b…82c3backed Yes	19c	1,079$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bb…2d3abacked Yes	21c	1,003$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.65	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae83…da1cbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7847…fc71backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6778…226abacked Yes	13c	999.95$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Yes	20c	996.1$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74a2…2ab4backed Yes	17c	907.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	22c	897.22$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	19c	878.74$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.4	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e0…14e9backed Yes	21c	785.71$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes	21c	772.36$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.89	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x469c…5edebacked Yes	27c	752.63$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44f…70c2backed Yes	2c	715$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439c…b82cbacked Yes	25c	629.68$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.22	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1707…9b9fbacked Yes	25c	606.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…7ff4backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	14c	584.43$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.46	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8423…b93dbacked Yes	9c	571.84$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.55	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daa…380dbacked Yes	17c	571.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…145bbacked Yes	18c	567.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…c00cbacked Yes	18c	561.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	3.4%1 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	15cpaid	-80.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	19c	528.08$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.58	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-93.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea9…a10bbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…721fbacked Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…d39fbacked Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d7…7e85backed Yes	13c	500$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	89	7.9%7 W · 82 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	20c	500$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	13c	499.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…b3f6backed Yes	20c	480$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…dcddbacked Yes	22c	450.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	79c	428.84$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.57	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	71cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Yes	24c	425.04$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event