TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68c9…4c60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT8742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+36%+$306.13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29%+$87.04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.8%+$771.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+62.3%+$187.01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+65%+$208.66
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+34.7%+$173.4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$141.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+41.3%+$247.85
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$154.71
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.9%+$419.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25.8%+$232.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.9%+$27.89
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.3%+$87.91
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25.8%+$232.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150.13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$619.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+70.6%+$630.01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$3,158.51
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.4%+$278.97
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.5%+$579.93
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12,240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+103%+$12,608.68
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.5%+$6,268.22
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$392.05
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+137.1%+$187.43
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+91.9%+$183.75
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$374.17
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38%+$333.05
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.2%+$66.32
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+116.1%+$232.12
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,790.85
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,041Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$2,020.34
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB dip to $500 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Solana reach $110 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$199.93
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$184.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$2,834.4
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$170.01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$534.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$2,012.51
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$299
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will BNB dip to $500 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.5%+$18.03
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31%+$1,686.59
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$654
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$459.39
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$551.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.8%+$117.25
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$130.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$841.77
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.87
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$643.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$974.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$416.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,039.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,535.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.3%+$157.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.7%+$213.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.6%+$88.69
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,989Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+59.3%+$1,771.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$1,522.9
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$149.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$1,300.82
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+27.1%+$54.13
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.8%+$107.38
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+174.7%+$174.73
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100.7%+$201.41
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.5%+$66.91
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+34%+$67.98
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$237.97
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$194.98
Erste Bank Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$192.49
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$119.82
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jaume Munar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.15
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29%+$58.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$455.41
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+435.6%+$1,398.83
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+119.4%+$15,317.46
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+254.2%+$5,340.86
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+54.8%+$383.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$217.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$105.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$299.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.