Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfbba8299fc50df21a37010d402fd1356c9a950093426e1e59a9f1266110a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d68…4f6dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,900$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…b1b4backed No | 76c | 1,900$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,718$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…a970backed Yes | 14c | 1,467$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 1,349$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 1,251$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 34c | 1,196$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.07 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ee…0afabacked No | 51c | 1,102$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 31c | 1,043$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed No | 52c | 904.02$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.44 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 54c | 830.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 75c | 678.79$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…02b4backed Yes | 17c | 665.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 25c | 483.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…5a5ebacked Yes | 31c | 447.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 69c | 350$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 67c | 326.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 31c | 312.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 46c | 296.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 34c | 294.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 57c | 294.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 51c | 262.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 26c | 248.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 54c | 240.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…b1c6backed Yes | 56c | 234.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed No | 60c | 232.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b44…4af8backed Yes | 37c | 217.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…6d07backed No | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…cc9cbacked Yes | 7c | 209.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…8fd4backed No | 75c | 200.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…fb7cbacked No | 16c | 200$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…20febacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…3e93backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9da6backed No | 77c | 179.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…befcbacked No | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 53c | 162.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 66c | 151.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 8c | 141.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…32aabacked Yes | 20c | 137.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 78c | 137$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…b330backed No | 75c | 134.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 78c | 118.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 76c | 111.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 59c | 110.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes | 48c | 104.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…3cd0backed No | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b6…a5e9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…23a9backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 44c | 99.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…7017backed No | 75c | 92.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…1056backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…d269backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2862backed Yes | 76c | 67.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 15c | 66.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…3d73backed No | 19c | 66.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +275.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…07c4backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Yes | 18c | 61.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…a708backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…f959backed No | 54c | 55.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 48c | 50.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…e614backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 48.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…1f4abacked Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…e3efbacked No | 60c | 40.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…e28dbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Yes | 67c | 39.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e592backed Yes | 51c | 33.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked No | 77c | 31.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…b20dbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…8520backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…f6dabacked Yes | 44c | 27.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked No | 62c | 25.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…1271backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…97babacked No | 53c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…fdb3backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f8…865ebacked Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked No | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 73c | 15.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in March?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in March?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in March?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.