TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7e2…1056

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5236.5%19 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$196.72
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$105
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$58.24
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+203%+$60.91
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$95
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.58
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.01
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39.06
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$58.89
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+101.4%+$33.83
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+255.1%+$58.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+158.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$173.17
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31%+$31.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be less than $8.00B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.