Token Launches · resolved market
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746577d2ea14e77f0c71b4ee4e369ee14be9946f3f1577ff64c2e9a4c18a5443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $887,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $988,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5542…4c26backed No | 1c | 61,855$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 17c | 60,759$10,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,242.19 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 22c | 36,622$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.55 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 7c | 30,301$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.78 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 0c | 26,198$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 77c | 25,607$19,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,823.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 36c | 24,748$8,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,986.62 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 51c | 23,842$12,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,779.76 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…0e3cbacked No | 1c | 23,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…637cbacked No | 0c | 18,304$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 28c | 17,646$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.8 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 24c | 16,943$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.13 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 29c | 14,736$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 54c | 14,044$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 33c | 10,848$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…1450backed No | 34c | 10,776$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 64c | 10,740$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed No | 1c | 9,307$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 1c | 9,275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 47c | 9,195$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 45c | 8,628$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.88 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked No | 53c | 8,603$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…6cdfbacked Yes | 60c | 8,071$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 63c | 7,673$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.88 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2ea6backed Yes | 75c | 7,182$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…efa9backed Yes | 54c | 6,822$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed No | 35c | 6,660$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.68 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 50c | 5,990$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…99dfbacked No | 0c | 5,494$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…e0aabacked No | 27c | 5,437$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed No | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…72cdbacked No | 11c | 4,963$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc129…5993backed No | 60c | 4,819$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…94d5backed Yes | 48c | 4,112$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 68c | 3,783$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.6 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x058c…a940backed Yes | 66c | 3,685$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 39c | 3,386$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…2adbbacked Yes | 63c | 3,365$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed No | 8c | 3,363$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…7344backed Yes | 78c | 3,291$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 26c | 3,277$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.47 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…aab6backed Yes | 53c | 2,922$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…5901backed Yes | 59c | 2,772$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf297…2c03backed No | 1c | 2,576$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 17c | 2,555$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f9…c5e8backed No | 27c | 2,426$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.49 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +17.9wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 21c | 2,343$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…b976backed No | 1c | 2,295$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 21c | 2,200$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 25c | 2,110$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…cf00backed No | 27c | 2,091$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…af05backed Yes | 76c | 1,999$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 30c | 1,992$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…9d95backed No | 38c | 1,953$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…85a7backed Yes | 80c | 1,818$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +374.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 66c | 1,804$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.41 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…a86cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,800$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 28c | 1,724$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 1c | 1,718$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 7c | 1,700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 36c | 1,686$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.88 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,617$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec03…c1d4backed Yes | 68c | 1,603$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 31c | 1,476$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 41c | 1,464$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked No | 31c | 1,459$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…e400backed Yes | 57c | 1,369$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 30c | 1,230$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,229$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 67c | 1,214$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5378…38e4backed Yes | 72c | 1,209$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +183%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 20c | 1,175$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 23c | 1,169$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeee…f065backed No | 2c | 1,142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +8.5wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 1,114$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,034$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…959abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…a933backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…0ffdbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 74c | 981.2$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 49c | 971.67$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…dc55backed Yes | 54c | 971$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…d223backed Yes | 50c | 968.75$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 962$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 18c | 937$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 57c | 899.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked No | 36c | 899.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 73c | 844.54$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 26c | 797.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked No | 32c | 777.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 37c | 696.61$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 79c | 690.37$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…e5c6backed Yes | 57c | 639.75$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 17c | 596.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.