Token Launches · resolved market
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8155c0f479abe32b2f9c731377f5ae83a85190f0adabd72d7eb84b5e5f00ae63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 54c | 6,485$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.37 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 24c | 6,316$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 78c | 4,347$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 35c | 4,300$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 39c | 4,222$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 33c | 3,999$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.65 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 70c | 3,575$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.01 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,278$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.65 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 49c | 3,122$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.4 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 40c | 3,077$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 58c | 2,875$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 56c | 2,564$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.17 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 61c | 2,300$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.89 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,099$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 1,906$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.94 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c90cbacked No | 59c | 1,779$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 34c | 1,603$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…f598backed Yes | 70c | 1,596$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 26c | 1,592$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.27 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 58c | 1,579$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.78 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,457$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 11c | 1,446$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…6cdfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 55c | 941.7$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.08 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 40c | 923.59$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 57c | 921.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.18 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 50c | 918.67$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b0…2dbfbacked No | 66c | 893.44$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 56c | 841.62$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…0b69backed No | 46c | 830.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 78c | 817.16$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 22c | 800$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 32c | 779.26$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 32c | 729.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.29 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 43c | 700$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 23c | 639$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 56c | 628.32$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 49c | 618$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.97 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 599.36$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…af05backed Yes | 72c | 584.29$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 34c | 518.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 468.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.02 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 423.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 18c | 402.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 388.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…708ebacked Yes | 46c | 372.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 17c | 371.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 46c | 365.11$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 350.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 47c | 345.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…dc55backed No | 74c | 330.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed Yes | 42c | 329.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…0540backed Yes | 52c | 322.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed No | 77c | 318.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…2564backed No | 79c | 312.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 50c | 306.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 49c | 303.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…3520backed No | 52c | 277.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…ebc6backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 23c | 267.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed Yes | 75c | 263.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 76c | 259.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…a422backed Yes | 5c | 254.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…a6e0backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…e20abacked No | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 29c | 243.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…c1d4backed No | 52c | 239.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…8291backed No | 68c | 236.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…0890backed No | 80c | 234.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes | 13c | 233.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 45c | 233.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 28c | 215.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 76c | 214.87$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 31c | 205.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 19c | 200.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…f390backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…1befbacked No | 23c | 189.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked No | 52c | 186.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…4bb3backed No | 52c | 179.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 50c | 177.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d1abacked No | 28c | 176.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 47c | 174.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…9b68backed No | 56c | 173.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…0905backed No | 80c | 172.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…ae2cbacked No | 56c | 172.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed No | 29c | 170.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…c46cbacked No | 47c | 168.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…5901backed Yes | 42c | 167.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 157.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fb…b06dbacked No | 54c | 156.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…8c95backed No | 49c | 154.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.