Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8117d9367dc378276d653b0c0515c59a9c8973bc51e3fd3bf2d5dc585ca5cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 48c | 8,410$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.09 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 45c | 7,193$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.27 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 62c | 4,996$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.07 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 34c | 4,196$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.28 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 61c | 3,693$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.72 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2ea6backed Yes | 65c | 3,489$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 55c | 2,785$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 45c | 2,764$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.14 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 77c | 2,328$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.46 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 43c | 2,009$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.83 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 21c | 1,775$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 58c | 1,675$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 23c | 1,650$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 80c | 1,621$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 58c | 1,594$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.38 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 64c | 1,505$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 77c | 1,465$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 61c | 1,457$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.19 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 56c | 1,367$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.43 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 31c | 1,337$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,300$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 9c | 1,197$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 44c | 1,095$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,044$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 65c | 1,012$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…be9fbacked No | 66c | 974.82$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 74c | 806.43$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…6086backed No | 73c | 790.83$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked No | 70c | 779.24$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 63c | 740.6$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 33c | 718.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 70c | 706.76$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 47c | 704.12$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.69 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 56c | 686.18$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed Yes | 27c | 675.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.33 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 68c | 585.77$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 27c | 540$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 11c | 506.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 67c | 487.78$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 57c | 484.96$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…f598backed Yes | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 31c | 469.72$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed Yes | 23c | 458.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…583ebacked No | 79c | 413.77$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 8c | 408.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…354ebacked Yes | 44c | 407.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed No | 67c | 390.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 15c | 389.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 372$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 80c | 363.63$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…54fbbacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 42c | 337.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 25c | 329.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…fe6ebacked No | 74c | 321.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Yes | 48c | 317.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 299.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed No | 70c | 269.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 32c | 266.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…af05backed Yes | 37c | 260.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 54c | 256.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 17c | 252.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 59c | 246.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 60c | 239.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 15c | 228.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 65c | 221.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 220.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 67c | 219.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 70c | 207.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 69c | 207.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked No | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 11c | 199.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 79c | 197.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 26c | 189.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 50c | 187.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8e3dbacked Yes | 44c | 185.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…7670backed No | 56c | 173.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b0…2dbfbacked No | 79c | 163.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 59c | 155.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…8c95backed No | 57c | 151.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed No | 65c | 149.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 20c | 147.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed No | 70c | 146.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 75c | 144.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…22e9backed No | 68c | 143.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 140.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.