Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c04e52c0b77dc45e3f005cc930ef0bf7e07ff2a5b9a73e3d41f640ddbe48de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0e…5001backed No | 77c | 25,615$19,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.8 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 33c | 21,544$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,496.93 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…85e1backed Yes | 75c | 18,749$14,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,064.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed No | 22c | 15,696$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,294.69 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 16c | 15,240$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.39 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 45c | 12,701$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 37c | 11,516$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 13c | 10,933$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.66 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 80c | 9,198$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 54c | 9,002$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.65 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b0…2dbfbacked No | 29c | 7,175$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 77c | 6,583$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.15 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 33c | 5,901$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 42c | 5,700$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 61c | 5,617$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.11 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…4c26backed No | 16c | 5,100$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c90cbacked Yes | 80c | 4,720$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 47c | 4,415$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.39 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d4…c481backed Yes | 48c | 4,033$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 35c | 3,954$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.19 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9081backed Yes | 36c | 3,892$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 51c | 3,854$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.3 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked No | 61c | 3,840$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.1 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 33c | 3,758$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 39c | 3,530$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.32 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked No | 66c | 3,310$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 49c | 3,241$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 57c | 3,074$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.97 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…26b5backed Yes | 34c | 2,629$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 39c | 2,612$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,576$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 39c | 2,561$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.75 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…a32fbacked No | 63c | 2,395$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 11c | 2,366$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 50c | 2,355$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.11 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…3ea5backed Yes | 20c | 2,322$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 27c | 2,310$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.1 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…77d9backed Yes | 11c | 2,294$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 53c | 2,216$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.5 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…6208backed No | 23c | 2,163$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…a82fbacked No | 38c | 1,989$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…5901backed Yes | 48c | 1,935$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 24c | 1,877$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.31 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 12c | 1,829$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…d19bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,543$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked Yes | 79c | 1,486$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.13 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed No | 20c | 1,475$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…6cdfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,419$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed No | 49c | 1,386$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 31c | 1,378$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 78c | 1,333$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…de6dbacked No | 37c | 1,320$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…1b0abacked Yes | 27c | 1,319$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed No | 38c | 1,308$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…afc4backed Yes | 39c | 1,290$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 46c | 1,258$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 47c | 1,241$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.4 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 79c | 1,239$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 50c | 1,217$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.33 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 39c | 1,199$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.74 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed Yes | 46c | 1,180$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked Yes | 52c | 1,133$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,077$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 59c | 1,074$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.34 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 1,070$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 71c | 1,067$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.96 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 33c | 1,046$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.08 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 41c | 1,005$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…efa9backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…be9fbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 63c | 989.53$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd455…a1b2backed No | 30c | 985.6$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…ea72backed No | 62c | 972.18$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779b…0477backed Yes | 52c | 931.59$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 35c | 859.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked No | 41c | 836.3$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.18 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…d223backed Yes | 42c | 828.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed Yes | 33c | 825$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed No | 63c | 776.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +698%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 21c | 771$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Yes | 59c | 770.69$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Yes | 49c | 770.49$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 741.86$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.02 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 45c | 741.23$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 26c | 739.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 38c | 738.57$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.82 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 45c | 734.87$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 9c | 699.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.91 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed No | 64c | 689.51$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…b444backed Yes | 58c | 672.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed No | 27c | 660.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed No | 60c | 647.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.