Token Launches · resolved market
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f26ef19ed7b73af1eba30e4bb3d8a1fa5ea7eea816572ce6e968a266c4151bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 14c | 4,900$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…e720backed Yes | 21c | 3,242$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 71c | 2,481$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.87 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 2,446$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 35c | 2,081$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.58 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 63c | 1,839$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.34 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…ed3ebacked No | 72c | 1,369$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,226$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed No | 77c | 1,181$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c9c4backed Yes | 23c | 1,163$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 30c | 1,146$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.11 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked No | 76c | 1,107$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.87 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9af6backed Yes | 45c | 1,098$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 55c | 1,061$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,035$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed Yes | 45c | 965.22$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…ee39backed Yes | 34c | 964.7$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed Yes | 23c | 953.15$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…28e9backed Yes | 33c | 948.09$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 26cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed Yes | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 45c | 892.58$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.66 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 799.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 15c | 782.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 670.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 6c | 629.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 5c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 68c | 571.29$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 40c | 535.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.17 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 27c | 509.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 20c | 509$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…d4a7backed Yes | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 66c | 483.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed Yes | 9c | 449.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…f598backed Yes | 50c | 433.12$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed Yes | 50c | 418.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed No | 69c | 397.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked No | 49c | 380$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 78c | 378.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 64c | 349.92$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…22e9backed No | 78c | 348.65$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…72cdbacked No | 57c | 342.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 58c | 333.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 321.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 76 | 6.6%5 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked No | 56c | 294.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…1f2cbacked No | 71c | 275.72$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 30c | 252.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed No | 73c | 249.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 13c | 247.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 69c | 243.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…390ebacked No | 67c | 233.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed Yes | 31c | 228.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…97afbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 76c | 196.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…6020backed No | 50c | 194.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 25c | 189.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 26c | 174.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…0ffdbacked No | 75c | 167.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cca…9887backed No | 78c | 151.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 151.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 68c | 143.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 35c | 142.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…9337backed No | 75c | 131.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…ae2cbacked No | 75c | 130.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 79c | 124.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…6eeabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 11c | 99.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 24c | 98.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed No | 72c | 89.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 49c | 86.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…b9bbbacked Yes | 50c | 82.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 66c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…ce60backed No | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…431ebacked Yes | 30c | 71.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…9165backed No | 65c | 68.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 48c | 63.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 45c | 60.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 67c | 56.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…0af6backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…2f2dbacked No | 78c | 46.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…d5b2backed Yes | 49c | 38.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…8c79backed Yes | 59c | 38.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0d05backed No | 50c | 37.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +256.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 58c | 32.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed No | 78c | 31.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…ec2cbacked Yes | 57c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 50c | 30.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 49c | 29.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…1ed2backed Yes | 50c | 29.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
- Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.