TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71a3…22c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+523.9%+$231.83
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.94
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$12.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$9.23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.26
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$21.46
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.97
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$34.98
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$6.57
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$17.3
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.66
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$7.96
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$18.2
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.18
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$27.63
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$10.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$5.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$37.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$34.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$8.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+258.2%+$46.04
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+77%+$42.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.