South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688448a8de1e63505a0dac9c8005d5449dde78bcdf6b7e8bf612a6cdc25284e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 2,420$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.91 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 2,394$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 77c | 1,989$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,840$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,801$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 75c | 1,313$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,031$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 71c | 662.42$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 599.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 537.61$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 48c | 502.43$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed Over | 76c | 389.05$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…b37fbacked Over | 76c | 351.81$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 21c | 344.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 65c | 309.14$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 274.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 34c | 229.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 47c | 207.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 78c | 193.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 79c | 187.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 134.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Over | 77c | 128.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 47c | 117.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 111.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 64c | 111.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 56c | 106.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 76c | 83.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 82.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Over | 63c | 82.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 78.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 32c | 75.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 52c | 72.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…5ff6backed Over | 72c | 68.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Over | 75c | 65.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 59c | 64.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 54.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 72c | 46.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 22c | 46.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 23c | 45.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…540cbacked Over | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 42c | 40.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 78c | 31.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 75c | 30.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed Over | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 46c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…efd8backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 58c | 21.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…2a35backed Over | 50c | 20.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54a…df26backed Over | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Over | 79c | 17.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 72c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cc5bbacked Over | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 72c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.