TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e7d…5881

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$301.76
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$44.43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.1
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$84.18
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$128.97
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+145.4%+$58.17
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.42
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.83
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$97.84
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$151.26
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+210.8%+$174.94
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$259.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.23
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$200
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
SHL: HV 71 vs. Skellefteaabacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+106%+$16.96
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117%+$17.55
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$14
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.19
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+150%+$16.5
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.12
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)backed UD Almería · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$70.38
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$145.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+125%+$174.95
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+164.2%+$229.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$102.46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.7%+$84.16
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100.4%+$50.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+115.1%+$115.08
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+80.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$292.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Udinese Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$263.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$89.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.