Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfdeba5ef30d14297f829362bd507db33279817be9556c9c253b0c37cd6f55ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x808d…c1babacked Over | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 28,160$12,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,330.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 12,112$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.46 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 11,436$5,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,259.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 52c | 1,922$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.93 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 45c | 1,264$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 1,115$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.81 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 57c | 350.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 45c | 303.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 292$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 45c | 204$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 199.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 194.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 134.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 114.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 102.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 46c | 91.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Under | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…a876backed Over | 55c | 65.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 44c | 55.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…2099backed Under | 55c | 54.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 57c | 52.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 45c | 50.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 46.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 55c | 44.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…3273backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 45c | 39.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 45c | 39.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 38.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 36.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 45c | 30.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 56c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…1319backed Under | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…adb6backed Under | 52c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 51c | 19.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Under | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.