Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2498e8c8ccdbe3b6fbda34a62d2f74a18eca9c735900e7cb4cf8fd459bb13291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Viktoria Plzeňof FC Porto, FC Viktoria Plzeň
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x808d…c1babacked FC Porto | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked FC Porto | 46c | 5,377$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked FC Porto | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň | 3c | 1,571$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.75 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 73c | 1,131$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked FC Porto | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň | 71c | 786.27$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked FC Porto | 34c | 743.94$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked FC Porto | 27c | 669.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 78c | 585.15$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed FC Porto | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked FC Viktoria Plzeň | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FC Porto | 25c | 249$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Porto | 29c | 235.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Porto | 31c | 223.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked FC Porto | 29c | 222.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FC Viktoria Plzeň | 71c | 199.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked FC Porto | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 78c | 136$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked FC Porto | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked FC Porto | 28c | 88.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 70c | 83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed FC Porto | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed FC Porto | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FC Porto | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Viktoria Plzeň | 73c | 31.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed FC Porto | 33c | 31.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 72c | 26.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 74c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.