Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9448e1e461cc71bdb1b661f2a1576f99d176a3de56cf840a85c3a84ea03045a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 4,062$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.95 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 4,034$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,420$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 71c | 1,691$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.39 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 71c | 1,199$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Over | 59c | 842.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 800.73$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 54c | 727$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.15 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 30c | 680$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 678.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 29c | 600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 429.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 58c | 427.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 71c | 418.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 385.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 64c | 251.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 17c | 212.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 71c | 211.83$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…450abacked Over | 75c | 207.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 27c | 198$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 179.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 16c | 142.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Over | 72c | 116.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 71c | 100.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…f20bbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…2af1backed Over | 71c | 96.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 34c | 81.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 38c | 79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 71c | 70.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 51.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 29c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 23.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…009abacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 72c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.