Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe274bb03548272938720a6e524e2d2cc01ef20b90d38f7ec4967b991ec104485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa43f…1acebacked No | 51c | 3,318$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 2,233$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…676dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,278$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…9c89backed Yes | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…f2babacked Yes | 49c | 924$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 878.17$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 48c | 857.5$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 48c | 788.52$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.03 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 52c | 652.14$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 58c | 618.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 460.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 138.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…1c15backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked No | 51c | 89.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 48c | 57.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…7758backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Yes | 49c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Yes | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Yes | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0165backed Yes | 80c | 24.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Yes | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.